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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2021 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months,…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The gasoline index continued to increase, rising 6.4 percent in February and accounting for over half of the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index. The electricity and natural gas indexes also increased, and the energy index rose 3.9 percent over the month. The food index rose 0.2 percent in February, with the index for food at home and the index for food away from home both rising.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.1 percent in February. The indexes for shelter, recreation, medical care, and motor vehicle insurance all increased over the month. The indexes for airline fares, used cars and trucks, and apparel all declined in February.

The all items index rose 1.7 percent for the 12 months ending February, a larger increase than the 1.4-percent reported for the period ending in January. The index for all items less food and energy rose 1.3 percent over the last 12 months, a smaller increase than the 1.4-percent rise for the 12 months ending January. The food index rose 3.6 percent over the last 12 months, while the energy index increased 2.4 percent over that period.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. ended 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 Feb. 2021

Food

The food index increased 0.2 percent in February. The index for food at home rose 0.3 percent over the month as four of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased. The index for fruits and vegetables rose 0.7 percent in February as the index for fresh fruits increased 1.8 percent, the largest increase in that index since March 2014. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.3 percent in February, a smaller increase than the 0.5-percent increase in January. The index for cereals and bakery products increased 0.5 percent in February, while the index for other food at home increased 0.1 percent over the month.

The index for dairy and related products declined 0.2 percent in February after falling 0.4 percent the previous month. The index for nonalcoholic beverages also decreased over the month, declining 0.1 percent.

The food away from home index rose 0.1 percent in February, continuing a long series of increases. The index for limited service meals rose 0.4 percent, while the index for full service meals increased 0.3 percent.

The food at home index increased 3.5 percent over the past 12 months. All six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the period, with increases ranging from 2.7 percent (both cereals and bakery products and dairy and related products) to 5.2 percent (meats, poultry, fish, and eggs). The index for food away from home rose 3.7 percent over the last year. The index for limited service meals rose 6.3 percent, the largest 12-month increase in the history of the index, which began in 1997. The index for full service meals rose 2.9 percent over the last 12 months.

Energy

The energy index continued to rise in February, increasing 3.9 percent. The index for gasoline was again the dominant factor in the increase, rising 6.4 percent over the month. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 6.9 percent in February.) The electricity index rose 0.7 percent in February, and the natural gas index increased 1.6 percent over the month. The index for fuel oil also rose in February, increasing 9.9 percent.

The energy index rose 2.4 percent over the past 12 months. The gasoline index rose 1.5 percent over the last 12 months, while the index for electricity rose 2.3 percent, and the index for natural gas increased 6.7 percent over the same period. In contrast, the fuel oil index fell 0.5 percent over the last 12 months.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.1 percent in February. The shelter index rose 0.2 percent in February, with the index for owners’ equivalent rent increasing 0.3 percent and the index for rent increasing 0.2 percent. The recreation index increased 0.6 percent in February after decreasing 0.6 percent in January. The motor vehicle insurance index also increased, rising 0.7 percent in February.

The medical care index rose 0.3 percent in February, although its components were mixed. The index for physicians’ services rose 2.0 percent over the month, but the index for prescription drugs declined 0.7 percent in February and the index for hospital services declined 0.1 percent.

The index for airline fares continued to decline in February, falling 5.1 percent following a 3.2-percent decrease in January. The used cars and trucks index fell 0.9 percent over the month, as it did in the 2 previous months. The index for apparel declined 0.7 percent in February after increasing 2.2 percent in January. The indexes for new vehicles and household furnishings and operations were both unchanged over the month.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 1.3 percent over the past 12 months. Among the indexes rising more quickly were those for used cars and trucks (+9.3 percent), medical care (+2.0 percent), and shelter (+1.5 percent). Indexes that declined over the last 12 months include airline fares (-25.6 percent), apparel (-3.6 percent), and motor vehicle insurance (-2.8 percent).

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.7 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 263.014 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.5 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 1.9 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 256.843 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index rose 0.6 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 1.6 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.6 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic Impact on February 2021 Consumer Price Index Data

Data collection by personal visit for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) program has been suspended since March 16, 2020. When possible, data normally collected by personal visit were collected either online or by phone. Additionally, data collection in February was affected by the temporary closing or limited operations of certain types of establishments. These factors resulted in an increase in the number of prices considered temporarily unavailable and imputed. While the CPI program attempted to collect as much data as possible, many indexes are based on smaller amounts of collected prices than usual, and a small number of indexes that are normally published were not published this month. Additional information is available at www.bls.gov/covid19/effects-of-covid-19-pandemic-on-consumer-price-index.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 10, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 8, 2021Publication referenceMar 10, 202130 days laterApr 9, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.73%Observed 3.02%Observed +29 bps vs. earlier reference3.13%Observed +11 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.19%Observed 1.53%Observed +34 bps vs. earlier reference1.67%Observed +14 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 10, 2020 – Jun 10, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 10, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.0.50%2.00%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.71% · Dec 10, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 17, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.66% · Dec 24, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 31, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.65% · Jan 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.79% · Jan 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Jan 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Jan 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Feb 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Feb 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Mar 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Mar 11, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Mar 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.17% · Mar 25, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.18% · Apr 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Apr 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.04% · Apr 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.97% · Apr 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Apr 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · May 6, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.94% · May 13, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.00% · May 20, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.95% · May 27, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jun 3, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Jun 10, 202110-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Dec 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Dec 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.96% · Dec 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Jan 4, 202110-year Treasury: 0.96% · Jan 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.08% · Jan 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.13% · Jan 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Jan 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.07% · Jan 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.09% · Feb 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Feb 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.18% · Feb 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.16% · Feb 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Feb 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Feb 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Feb 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Feb 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Feb 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Feb 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Feb 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Feb 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Mar 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Mar 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Mar 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Mar 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Mar 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Mar 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Mar 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Mar 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Mar 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.71% · Mar 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Mar 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Mar 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Mar 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Mar 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Mar 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Apr 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Apr 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · Apr 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Apr 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Apr 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Apr 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Apr 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Apr 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Apr 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Apr 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Apr 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · May 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · May 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.69% · May 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · May 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · May 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · May 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · May 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · May 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · May 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · May 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jun 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jun 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jun 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jun 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 10, 2021Dec 10, 2020Mar 10, 2021Jun 10, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,268.05/month

3.02% · Mar 4, 2021

At the later reference$1,285.94/month

3.13% · Apr 8, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.89 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →