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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2018 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter rose 0.3 percent in July and accounted for nearly 60 percent of the seasonally adjusted monthly increase in the all items index. The food index rose slightly in July, with major grocery store food group indexes mixed. The energy index fell 0.5 percent, as all the major component indexes declined.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in July, the same increase as in May and June. Along with the shelter index, the indexes for used cars and trucks, airline fares, new vehicles, household furnishings and operations, and recreation all increased. The indexes for medical care and for apparel both declined in July.

The all items index rose 2.9 percent for the 12 months ending July, the same increase as for the period ending June. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.4 percent for the 12 months ending July; this was the largest 12-month increase since the period ending September 2008. The food index increased 1.4 percent over the last 12 months, and the energy index rose 12.1 percent.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July ended 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 July 2018

Food

The food index rose 0.1 percent in July after increasing 0.2 percent in June. The index for food away from home rose 0.1 percent, while the index for food at home rose 0.2 percent in July, the same increase as the prior month. Three of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased, with the index for fruits and vegetables rising 1.0 percent as the index for fresh vegetables rose 1.9 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs increased 0.3 percent and the index for other food at home advanced 0.1 percent.

In contrast, the index for dairy and related products fell 0.6 percent in July after rising 0.7 percent in June. The index for cereals and bakery products also declined in July, falling 0.2 percent after rising in June. The index for nonalcoholic beverages was unchanged in July.

The food at home index increased 0.4 percent over the past year. Four of the six major grocery store food group indexes rose over the span; the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and the fruits and vegetables index both rose 0.9 percent over the last 12 months, the largest increases among the groups. The indexes for dairy and related products and nonalcoholic beverages both declined over the past year. The index for food away from home increased 2.8 percent over the past 12 months.

Energy

The energy index fell 0.5 percent in July after declining 0.3 percent in June. The indexes for gasoline, natural gas, and electricity all declined modestly in July. The gasoline index fell 0.6 percent in July after rising 0.5 percent in June. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices decreased 1.4 percent in July.) The electricity index fell 0.4 percent, and the index for natural gas fell 0.5 percent, its fifth consecutive decline.

The energy index increased 12.1 percent over the past year, as the gasoline index increased 25.4 percent. The index for fuel oil increased 34.7 percent over the last year. In contrast, the electricity index fell 0.8 percent, and the natural gas index declined 1.3 percent.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in July. The shelter index rose 0.3 percent in July following a 0.1-percent increase in June. The indexes for rent and owners' equivalent rent both rose 0.3 percent, the same increase as in June. The index for lodging away from home increased 0.4 percent in July after falling in June. The index for used cars and trucks increased 1.3 percent in July, and the index for airline fares increased 2.7 percent after falling in each of the prior 3 months. The new vehicles index rose 0.3 percent, its third consecutive increase. The index for household furnishings and operations also rose in July, advancing 0.3 percent, and the recreation index rose 0.2 percent.

The medical care index declined in July, falling 0.2 percent. The index for prescription drugs fell 1.0 percent in July after rising in each of the last 3 months, and the physicians' services index fell 0.2 percent. In contrast, the hospital services index rose 0.4 percent in July. The apparel index declined in July, falling 0.3 percent, and the index for personal care was unchanged.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.4 percent over the past 12 months, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending September 2008. The shelter index rose 3.5 percent over the last 12 months, and the medical care index rose 1.9 percent. The indexes for used cars and trucks, apparel, recreation, and new vehicles all posted increases of less than 1.0 percent over the past year.

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 2.9 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 252.006 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index was unchanged prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 3.2 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 246.155 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index was unchanged prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 2.7 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index was unchanged on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 10, 2018.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 11, 2018Publication referenceAug 10, 201830 days laterSep 9, 2018
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.52%Observed 4.59%Observed +7 bps vs. earlier reference4.54%Observed −5 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.85%Observed 2.87%Observed +2 bps vs. earlier reference2.94%Observed +7 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 10, 2018 – Nov 10, 2018
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 10, 2018Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%3.75%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · May 10, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.61% · May 17, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.66% · May 24, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.56% · May 31, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jun 7, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Jun 14, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.57% · Jun 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Jun 28, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jul 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jul 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Aug 2, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.59% · Aug 9, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Aug 16, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Aug 23, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Aug 30, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Sep 6, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Sep 13, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.65% · Sep 20, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.72% · Sep 27, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.71% · Oct 4, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.90% · Oct 11, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.85% · Oct 18, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.86% · Oct 25, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.83% · Nov 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Nov 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 11, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · May 14, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · May 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.09% · May 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.11% · May 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 22, 201810-year Treasury: 3.01% · May 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · May 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · May 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · May 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Jun 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jun 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jun 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jun 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jun 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jun 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jul 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Jul 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jul 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Aug 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Aug 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Aug 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Aug 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Aug 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Sep 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Sep 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Sep 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Sep 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Sep 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Sep 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Sep 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Sep 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.99% · Sep 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.99% · Sep 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Sep 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Sep 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Sep 20, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Sep 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Sep 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.10% · Sep 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Sep 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Sep 27, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Sep 28, 201810-year Treasury: 3.09% · Oct 1, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Oct 2, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 3, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Oct 4, 201810-year Treasury: 3.23% · Oct 5, 201810-year Treasury: 3.21% · Oct 9, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Oct 10, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Oct 11, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 12, 201810-year Treasury: 3.16% · Oct 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.16% · Oct 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Oct 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.17% · Oct 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Oct 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Oct 22, 201810-year Treasury: 3.17% · Oct 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.10% · Oct 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Oct 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Oct 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Oct 29, 201810-year Treasury: 3.12% · Oct 30, 201810-year Treasury: 3.15% · Oct 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.14% · Nov 1, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 2, 201810-year Treasury: 3.20% · Nov 5, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 6, 201810-year Treasury: 3.22% · Nov 7, 201810-year Treasury: 3.24% · Nov 8, 201810-year Treasury: 3.19% · Nov 9, 2018May 10, 2018Aug 10, 2018Nov 10, 2018
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,536.14/month

4.59% · Aug 9, 2018

At the later reference$1,527.19/month

4.54% · Sep 6, 2018

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $8.95 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →