Personal Income and Outlays, October and November 2025
Personal income increased $30.6 billion (0.1 percent at a monthly rate) in October, followed by an increase of $80.0 billion (0.3 percent) in November, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis2 min read
Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →
Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.
Personal income increased $30.6 billion (0.1 percent at a monthly rate) in October, followed by an increase of $80.0 billion (0.3 percent) in November, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $12.0 billion (0.1 percent) in October, followed by an increase of $63.7 billion (0.3 percent). Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $98.6 billion (0.5 percent), followed by an increase of $108.7 billion (0.5 percent).
Due to the recent government shutdown, this report for October and November replaces releases originally scheduled for November 26 and December 19, 2025.
Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $97.8 billion in October, followed by an increase of $107.9 billion in November. Personal saving was $843.9 billion followed by $799.7 billion. The personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.7 percent followed by 3.5 percent.
The increase in current-dollar personal income in October primarily reflected increases in compensation and government social benefits that were partly offset by decreases in other current transfer receipts from business, farm proprietors' income, and personal dividend income. In November, the increase primarily reflected increases in compensation and personal dividend income.
In October, the $98.6 billion increase in current-dollar PCE reflected increases in both services and goods.
The increase in spending on services was led by financial services and insurance, health care, and housing and utilities.
The increase in spending on goods was led by recreational goods and vehicles, other nondurable goods, and clothing and footwear.
In November, the $108.7 billion increase in current-dollar PCE reflected increases in both services and goods.
The increase in spending on services was led by health care, financial services and insurance, and other services.
The increase in spending on goods was led by gasoline and other energy goods as well as motor vehicles and parts.
From the preceding month, the PCE price index increased 0.2 percent in both October and November. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index also increased 0.2 percent in both months. (Refer to “Technical Notes” below for information on how BEA imputed missing BLS October prices.)
From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index increased 2.7 percent in October, followed by an increase of 2.8 percent in November. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index also increased 2.7 percent followed by an increase of 2.8 percent.
Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.
MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Separate income, spending and PCE inflation
Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.
What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,816.05/month
6.09% · Jan 22, 2026
At the later reference$1,800.58/month
6.01% · Feb 19, 2026
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $15.47 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.