Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2023

Personal income increased $80.1 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (table 3 and table 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $79.4 billion…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $80.1 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (table 3 and table 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $79.4 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $151.7 billion (0.8 percent).

The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.4 percent (table 9). Real DPI increased less than 0.1 percent in April and Real PCE increased 0.5 percent; goods increased 0.8 percent and services increased 0.3 percent (table 5 and table 7).

The increase in current-dollar personal income in April primarily reflected increases in compensation and personal income receipts on assets that were partly offset by a decrease in personal current transfer receipts (table 3). The increase in compensation was led by private wages and salaries. The increase in personal income receipts on assets reflected increases in both personal interest income and personal dividend income. The decrease in personal current transfer receipts was led by a decrease in “other” government social benefits.

The $151.7 billion increase in current-dollar PCE in April reflected an increase of $86.9 billion in spending for services and a $64.8 billion in spending for goods (table 3). Within services, the largest contributors to the increase were spending for financial services and insurance, health care, and “other” services (notably professional and other services). Within goods, spending for motor vehicles and parts (led by new motor vehicles) and “other” nondurable goods (notably pharmaceutical products) were the largest contributors to the increase. Detailed information on monthly PCE spending can be found on Table 2.4.5U.

Personal outlays increased $156.0 billion in April (table 3). Personal saving was $802.1 billion in April and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 4.1 percent (table 1).

Prices

From the preceding month, the PCE price index for April increased 0.4 percent (table 9). Prices for goods increased 0.3 percent and prices for services increased 0.4 percent. Food prices decreased less than 0.1 percent, and energy prices increased 0.7 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Detailed monthly PCE price indexes can be found on Table 2.4.4U.

From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for April increased 4.4 percent (table 11). Prices for goods increased 2.1 percent and prices for services increased 5.5 percent. Food prices increased 6.9 percent and energy prices decreased 6.3 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 4.7 percent from one year ago.

Real PCE

The 0.5 percent increase in real PCE in April reflected an increase of 0.8 percent in spending on goods and an increase of 0.3 percent in spending on services (table 7). Within goods, the largest contributor to the increase was spending for motor vehicles and parts (led by new motor vehicles). Within services, the increase was led by spending for financial services and insurance. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found on Table 2.4.6U.

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for October through March. For October through December, estimates for compensation, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance reflect the incorporation of updated fourth-quarter wage and salary data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE are provided below for February and March.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release May 26, 2023.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierApr 26, 2023Publication referenceMay 26, 202330 days laterJun 25, 2023
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.39%Observed 6.57%Observed +18 bps vs. earlier reference6.67%Observed +10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.43%Observed 3.80%Observed +37 bps vs. earlier reference3.74%Observed −6 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 26, 2023 – Aug 26, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 26, 2023Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.00%5.25%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 2, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Mar 9, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Mar 16, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Mar 23, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Mar 30, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Apr 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Apr 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · Apr 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Apr 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 4, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · May 11, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.39% · May 18, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.57% · May 25, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jun 1, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 8, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 15, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 22, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Jun 29, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 6, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jul 13, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jul 20, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jul 27, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Aug 3, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Aug 10, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Aug 17, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.92% · Feb 28, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Mar 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Mar 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Mar 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.98% · Mar 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.93% · Mar 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Mar 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · Mar 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.51% · Mar 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.56% · Mar 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Mar 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.47% · Mar 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · Mar 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · Mar 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Mar 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Mar 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Mar 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Mar 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.35% · Apr 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.30% · Apr 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Apr 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.41% · Apr 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.45% · Apr 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.58% · Apr 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.60% · Apr 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Apr 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · Apr 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Apr 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Apr 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Apr 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Apr 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · Apr 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.59% · May 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.38% · May 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · May 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.44% · May 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · May 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · May 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · May 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · May 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · May 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.50% · May 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · May 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.57% · May 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.65% · May 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · May 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · May 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · May 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · May 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · May 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · May 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.64% · May 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jun 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jun 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.70% · Jun 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jun 7, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 8, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jun 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.73% · Jun 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jun 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jun 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 15, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 16, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jun 22, 202310-year Treasury: 3.74% · Jun 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.72% · Jun 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.77% · Jun 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jun 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jun 29, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jun 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.95% · Jul 5, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Jul 6, 202310-year Treasury: 4.06% · Jul 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.99% · Jul 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.76% · Jul 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.83% · Jul 14, 202310-year Treasury: 3.81% · Jul 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.80% · Jul 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.75% · Jul 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.85% · Jul 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.84% · Jul 21, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.91% · Jul 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.86% · Jul 26, 202310-year Treasury: 4.01% · Jul 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.96% · Jul 28, 202310-year Treasury: 3.97% · Jul 31, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 1, 202310-year Treasury: 4.08% · Aug 2, 202310-year Treasury: 4.20% · Aug 3, 202310-year Treasury: 4.05% · Aug 4, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 7, 202310-year Treasury: 4.02% · Aug 8, 202310-year Treasury: 4.00% · Aug 9, 202310-year Treasury: 4.09% · Aug 10, 202310-year Treasury: 4.16% · Aug 11, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 14, 202310-year Treasury: 4.21% · Aug 15, 202310-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 16, 202310-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 17, 202310-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 18, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 21, 202310-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 22, 202310-year Treasury: 4.19% · Aug 23, 202310-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 24, 202310-year Treasury: 4.25% · Aug 25, 2023Feb 26, 2023May 26, 2023Aug 26, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,910.04/month

6.57% · May 25, 2023

At the later reference$1,929.87/month

6.67% · Jun 22, 2023

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $19.83 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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