Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, June 2022

Personal income increased $133.5 billion (0.6 percent) in June, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $120.4 billion (0.7 percent) and…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $133.5 billion (0.6 percent) in June, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $120.4 billion (0.7 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $181.1 billion (1.1 percent).

The PCE price index increased 1.0 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.6 percent (table 9). Real DPI decreased 0.3 percent in June and real PCE increased 0.1 percent; goods increased 0.1 percent and services increased 0.1 percent (tables 5 and 7).

Current-Dollar Measures

The increase in current-dollar personal income in June primarily reflected increases in compensation (led by private wages and salaries) and proprietors' income (mainly nonfarm) (table 3). Other current transfer receipts increased $12.9 billion in June, reflecting a legal settlement from corporate business to persons. The national income and product accounts record these settlements on an accrual basis in the month when the settlement is reached, regardless of when they are recorded on companies’ financial statements.

The $181.1 billion increase in current-dollar PCE in June reflected an increase of $94.9 billion in spending for goods and an increase of $86.2 billion in spending for services (table 3). Within goods, gasoline and other energy goods was the leading contributor to the increase. Within services, the largest contributors to the increase were spending for health care and for housing and utilities (mainly housing). Detailed information on monthly PCE spending can be found on Table 2.3.5U.

Personal outlays increased $186.5 billion in June (table 3). Personal saving was $944.5 billion in June and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 5.1 percent (table 1).

Prices

From the preceding month, the PCE price index for June increased 1.0 percent (table 9). Prices for goods increased 1.5 percent and prices for services increased 0.6 percent. Food prices increased 1.0 percent and energy prices increased 7.5 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.6 percent. Detailed monthly PCE price indexes can be found on Table 2.3.4U.

From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for June increased 6.8 percent (table 11). Prices for goods increased 10.4 percent and prices for services increased 4.9 percent. Food prices increased 11.2 percent and energy prices increased 43.5 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 4.8 percent from one year ago.

Real PCE

The 0.1 percent increase in real PCE in June reflected an increase of 0.1 percent in spending on goods and an increase of 0.1 percent in spending on services. Within goods, an increase in durable goods (led by motor vehicles and parts) was partly offset by a decrease in nondurable goods (led by food and beverages). Within services, increases in health care, food services and accommodations, and "other" services (led by international travel), were the leading contributors. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found on Table 2.3.6U.

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for April and May. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE, are provided below.

BEA will release results from the 2022 annual update of the National Economic Accounts, which includes the National Income and Product Accounts as well as the Industry Economic Accounts, on September 29, 2022. This update will present revised statistics for GDP, GDP by Industry, and gross domestic income that cover the first quarter of 2017 through the first quarter of 2022. Updated monthly personal income and outlays will be released on September 30, along with the August 2022 estimate. For details, refer to Information on Updates to the National Economic Accounts.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Jul 29, 2022.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 29, 2022Publication referenceJul 29, 202230 days laterAug 28, 2022
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.81%Observed 5.30%Observed −51 bps vs. earlier reference5.55%Observed +25 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.10%Observed 2.67%Observed −43 bps vs. earlier reference3.04%Observed +37 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 29, 2022 – Oct 29, 2022
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 29, 2022Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%5.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.27% · May 5, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · May 12, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · May 19, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · May 26, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.09% · Jun 2, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.23% · Jun 9, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.78% · Jun 16, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Jun 23, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.70% · Jun 30, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · Jul 7, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.51% · Jul 14, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.54% · Jul 21, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · Jul 28, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Aug 4, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.22% · Aug 11, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.13% · Aug 18, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.55% · Aug 25, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Sep 1, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Sep 8, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Sep 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.29% · Sep 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.70% · Sep 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Oct 6, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Oct 13, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.94% · Oct 20, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Oct 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · Apr 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · May 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 3, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 4, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · May 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.12% · May 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · May 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · May 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · May 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 13, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · May 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · May 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · May 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 19, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · May 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.86% · May 23, 202210-year Treasury: 2.76% · May 24, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · May 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · May 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.74% · May 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.85% · May 31, 202210-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 3, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jun 6, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Jun 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jun 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.15% · Jun 10, 202210-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jun 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jun 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Jun 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.28% · Jun 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.25% · Jun 17, 202210-year Treasury: 3.31% · Jun 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.16% · Jun 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.09% · Jun 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.13% · Jun 24, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Jun 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Jun 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.10% · Jun 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 30, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jul 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.01% · Jul 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.09% · Jul 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · Jul 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · Jul 13, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jul 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 18, 202210-year Treasury: 3.01% · Jul 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jul 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · Jul 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Jul 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Jul 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Jul 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.67% · Jul 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.60% · Aug 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · Aug 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.73% · Aug 3, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Aug 4, 202210-year Treasury: 2.83% · Aug 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Aug 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.80% · Aug 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Aug 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · Aug 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.79% · Aug 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · Aug 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 24, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 25, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Aug 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.12% · Aug 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.15% · Aug 31, 202210-year Treasury: 3.26% · Sep 1, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Sep 2, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.27% · Sep 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.29% · Sep 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.37% · Sep 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.42% · Sep 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.41% · Sep 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Sep 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Sep 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Sep 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.70% · Sep 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Sep 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Sep 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Sep 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.72% · Sep 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Sep 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Sep 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Oct 3, 202210-year Treasury: 3.62% · Oct 4, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Oct 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Oct 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.89% · Oct 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.93% · Oct 11, 202210-year Treasury: 3.91% · Oct 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Oct 13, 202210-year Treasury: 4.00% · Oct 14, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 17, 202210-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 18, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 19, 202210-year Treasury: 4.24% · Oct 20, 202210-year Treasury: 4.21% · Oct 21, 202210-year Treasury: 4.25% · Oct 24, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 25, 202210-year Treasury: 4.04% · Oct 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.96% · Oct 27, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022Jul 29, 2022Oct 29, 2022
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,665.91/month

5.30% · Jul 28, 2022

At the later reference$1,712.79/month

5.55% · Aug 25, 2022

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $46.88 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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