Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2020

Personal income increased $116.5 billion (0.6 percent) in January according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $101.4 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $116.5 billion (0.6 percent) in January according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $101.4 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $29.6 billion (0.2 percent).

Real DPI increased 0.5 percent in January and Real PCE increased 0.1 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.1 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.1 percent.

This release includes revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for July through September 2019 (third quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of new third-quarter data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.

The increase in personal income in January primarily reflected increases in compensation of employees and social security benefit payments (related to annual cost of living adjustments), and other government social benefits to persons, which includes the Affordable Care Act refundable tax credit (table 3).

The $12.9 billion increase in real PCE in January reflected increases of $2.2 billion in spending for goods and $10.3 billion in spending for services (table 7). Within goods, new motor vehicles was the leading contributor to the increase. Within services, the largest contributor to the increase was spending for food services and accommodations. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found on Table 2.3.6U.

Personal outlays increased $27.0 billion in January (table 3). Personal saving was $1.33 trillion in January, and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 7.9 percent (table 1).

Updates

Estimates have been updated for July through December 2019. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE, are shown below.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Feb 28, 2020.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 29, 2020Publication referenceFeb 28, 202030 days laterMar 29, 2020
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.60%Observed 3.45%Observed −15 bps vs. earlier reference3.50%Observed +5 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.60%Observed 1.13%Observed −47 bps vs. earlier reference0.72%Observed −41 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 28, 2019 – May 28, 2020
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 28, 2020Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.0.50%2.25%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Dec 5, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Dec 12, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Dec 19, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.74% · Dec 26, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Jan 2, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Jan 9, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Jan 16, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jan 23, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.51% · Jan 30, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Feb 6, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Feb 13, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.49% · Feb 20, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Feb 27, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.29% · Mar 5, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.36% · Mar 12, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Mar 19, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.50% · Mar 26, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.33% · Apr 2, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.33% · Apr 9, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.31% · Apr 16, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.33% · Apr 23, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.23% · Apr 30, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.26% · May 7, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.28% · May 14, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.24% · May 21, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.15% · May 28, 202010-year Treasury: 1.78% · Nov 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.83% · Dec 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Dec 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Dec 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Dec 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Dec 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.83% · Dec 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.85% · Dec 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Dec 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.82% · Dec 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.89% · Dec 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.89% · Dec 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.93% · Dec 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Dec 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Jan 2, 202010-year Treasury: 1.80% · Jan 3, 202010-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jan 6, 202010-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 7, 202010-year Treasury: 1.87% · Jan 8, 202010-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jan 9, 202010-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 10, 202010-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jan 13, 202010-year Treasury: 1.82% · Jan 14, 202010-year Treasury: 1.79% · Jan 15, 202010-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jan 16, 202010-year Treasury: 1.84% · Jan 17, 202010-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 21, 202010-year Treasury: 1.77% · Jan 22, 202010-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jan 23, 202010-year Treasury: 1.70% · Jan 24, 202010-year Treasury: 1.61% · Jan 27, 202010-year Treasury: 1.65% · Jan 28, 202010-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jan 29, 202010-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jan 30, 202010-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jan 31, 202010-year Treasury: 1.54% · Feb 3, 202010-year Treasury: 1.61% · Feb 4, 202010-year Treasury: 1.66% · Feb 5, 202010-year Treasury: 1.65% · Feb 6, 202010-year Treasury: 1.59% · Feb 7, 202010-year Treasury: 1.56% · Feb 10, 202010-year Treasury: 1.59% · Feb 11, 202010-year Treasury: 1.62% · Feb 12, 202010-year Treasury: 1.61% · Feb 13, 202010-year Treasury: 1.59% · Feb 14, 202010-year Treasury: 1.55% · Feb 18, 202010-year Treasury: 1.56% · Feb 19, 202010-year Treasury: 1.52% · Feb 20, 202010-year Treasury: 1.46% · Feb 21, 202010-year Treasury: 1.38% · Feb 24, 202010-year Treasury: 1.33% · Feb 25, 202010-year Treasury: 1.33% · Feb 26, 202010-year Treasury: 1.30% · Feb 27, 202010-year Treasury: 1.13% · Feb 28, 202010-year Treasury: 1.10% · Mar 2, 202010-year Treasury: 1.02% · Mar 3, 202010-year Treasury: 1.02% · Mar 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Mar 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Mar 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.54% · Mar 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Mar 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.82% · Mar 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Mar 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Mar 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · Mar 16, 202010-year Treasury: 1.02% · Mar 17, 202010-year Treasury: 1.18% · Mar 18, 202010-year Treasury: 1.12% · Mar 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Mar 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Mar 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.84% · Mar 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Mar 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Mar 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Mar 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Mar 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Mar 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Apr 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Apr 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Apr 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Apr 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.75% · Apr 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.77% · Apr 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · Apr 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Apr 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Apr 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Apr 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.61% · Apr 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Apr 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Apr 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.58% · Apr 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Apr 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.61% · Apr 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.60% · Apr 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Apr 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Apr 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Apr 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Apr 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · May 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · May 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · May 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · May 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · May 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · May 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · May 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · May 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · May 28, 2020Nov 28, 2019Feb 28, 2020May 28, 2020
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury124 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,338.77/month

3.45% · Feb 27, 2020

At the later reference$1,347.13/month

3.50% · Mar 26, 2020

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $8.36 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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