Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, July 2019

Personal income increased $23.9 billion (0.1 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $44.4 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

Read the release

Original source →

Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $23.9 billion (0.1 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $44.4 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $93.1 billion (0.6 percent).

Real DPI increased 0.1 percent in July and Real PCE increased 0.4 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.2 percent.

The increase in personal income in July primarily reflected increases in compensation of employees and government social benefits to persons that were partially offset by a decrease in personal interest income (table 3).

The $56.9 billion increase in real PCE in July reflected an increase of $36.4 billion in spending for goods and a $23.8 billion increase in spending for services (table 7). Within goods, recreational goods and vehicles was the leading contributor to the increase. Within services, the largest contributor to the increase was spending for household electricity and gas. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found in Table 2.3.6U.

Personal outlays increased $96.4 billion in July (table 3). Personal saving was $1.27 trillion in July and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 7.7 percent (table 1).

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for January through June. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

This news release includes revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for January through March 2019 (first quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of the most recently available first-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Aug 30, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 31, 2019Publication referenceAug 30, 201930 days laterSep 29, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.75%Observed 3.58%Observed −17 bps vs. earlier reference3.64%Observed +6 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.02%Observed 1.50%Observed −52 bps vs. earlier reference1.69%Observed +19 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 30, 2019 – Nov 30, 2019
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 30, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · May 30, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 6, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 13, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Jun 20, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jun 27, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jul 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Aug 1, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 8, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 15, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Aug 22, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Aug 29, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.49% · Sep 5, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Sep 12, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Sep 19, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Sep 26, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Oct 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Oct 10, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Oct 17, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Oct 24, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.78% · Oct 31, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Nov 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Nov 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Nov 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Nov 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.22% · May 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.14% · May 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jun 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jun 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jun 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jun 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jun 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jun 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jul 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.98% · Jul 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.96% · Jul 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jul 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jul 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jul 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Aug 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Aug 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Aug 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Aug 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.71% · Aug 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Aug 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Aug 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Aug 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Aug 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Aug 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Aug 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.49% · Aug 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Aug 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Sep 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Sep 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Sep 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Sep 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Sep 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Sep 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.64% · Sep 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Oct 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.67% · Oct 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Oct 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Oct 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Nov 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Nov 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Nov 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.94% · Nov 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Nov 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Nov 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Nov 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Nov 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Nov 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Nov 29, 2019May 30, 2019Aug 30, 2019Nov 30, 2019
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,360.57/month

3.58% · Aug 29, 2019

At the later reference$1,370.69/month

3.64% · Sep 26, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $10.12 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →