Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2018

Personal income increased $49.5 billion (0.3 percent) in April according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $60.9 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $49.5 billion (0.3 percent) in April according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $60.9 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $79.8 billion (0.6 percent).

Real DPI increased 0.2 percent in April and Real PCE increased 0.4 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.2 percent.

The increase in personal income in April primarily reflected increases in wages and salaries, in personal interest income, and in government social benefit payments to persons, specifically veteran's benefits and Medicare (table 3).

The $42.8 billion increase in real PCE in April reflected an increase of $15.4 billion in spending for goods and a $27.5 billion increase in spending for services (table 7). Within goods, spending for gasoline and other energy goods was a leading contributor to the increase. Within services, the largest contributor to the increase was spending for household utilities. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found in Table 2.3.6U.

Personal outlays increased $86.9 billion in April (table 3). Personal saving was $419.6 billion in April and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 2.8 percent (table 1).

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been revised for October through March. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release May 31, 2018.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 1, 2018Publication referenceMay 31, 201830 days laterJun 30, 2018
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.58%Observed 4.56%Observed −2 bps vs. earlier reference4.55%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.97%Observed 2.83%Observed −14 bps vs. earlier reference2.85%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 28, 2018 – Aug 31, 2018
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 31, 2018Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%3.75%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.43% · Mar 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Mar 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Mar 22, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 29, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Apr 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Apr 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.47% · Apr 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.58% · Apr 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · May 3, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · May 10, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.61% · May 17, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.66% · May 24, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.56% · May 31, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jun 7, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Jun 14, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.57% · Jun 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Jun 28, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jul 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jul 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Aug 2, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.59% · Aug 9, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Aug 16, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Aug 23, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Aug 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Feb 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Mar 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Mar 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Mar 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Mar 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Mar 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Mar 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.74% · Mar 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.73% · Apr 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Apr 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Apr 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.80% · Apr 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Apr 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Apr 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Apr 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.03% · Apr 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Apr 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · May 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · May 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · May 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 8, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · May 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 11, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · May 14, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · May 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.09% · May 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.11% · May 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 22, 201810-year Treasury: 3.01% · May 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · May 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · May 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · May 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Jun 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jun 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jun 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jun 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jun 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jun 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jul 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Jul 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jul 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Aug 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Aug 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Aug 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Aug 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Aug 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Aug 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Aug 31, 2018Feb 28, 2018May 31, 2018Aug 31, 2018
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury130 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,530.77/month

4.56% · May 31, 2018

At the later reference$1,528.98/month

4.55% · Jun 28, 2018

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.79 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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