Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2016

Personal income increased $69.8 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $63.5 billion, or 0.5 percent, in April, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $69.8 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $63.5 billion, or 0.5 percent, in April, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $119.2 billion, or 1.0 percent. In March, personal income increased $56.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, DPI increased $49.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $3.7 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, based on revised estimates.

Real DPI increased 0.2 percent in April, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in March. Real PCE increased 0.6 percent, in contrast to a decrease of less than 0.1 percent.

This news release presents revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for October through December 2015 (fourth quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of the most recently available fourth-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Compensation

Wages and salaries increased $38.6 billion in April, compared with an increase of $30.7 billion in March. Private wages and salaries increased $37.2 billion, compared with an increase of $27.6 billion. Government wages and salaries increased $1.4 billion, compared with an increase of $3.1 billion.

Supplements to wages and salaries increased $5.9 billion in April, compared with an increase of $5.5 billion in March.

Other personal income

Proprietors' income increased $7.8 billion in April, in contrast to a decrease of $1.0 billion in March. Farm proprietors' income increased $0.3 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $1.5 billion. Nonfarm proprietors' income increased $7.5 billion, compared with an increase of $0.6 billion.

Rental income of persons increased $2.5 billion in April, compared with an increase of $5.5 billion in March. Personal income receipts on assets (personal interest income plus personal dividend income) increased $7.2 billion, compared with an increase of $13.1 billion.

Personal current transfer receipts increased $12.5 billion in April, compared with an increase of $6.3 billion in March. Within current transfer receipts, government social benefit payments to persons for April increased $12.3 billion, primarily reflecting an upturn in Social Security payments.

Contributions for government social insurance -- a subtraction in calculating personal income -- increased $4.7 billion in April, compared with an increase of $3.4 billion in March.

Personal current taxes and disposable personal income

Personal current taxes increased $6.3 billion in April, compared with an increase of $7.1 billion in March. Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less personal current taxes -- increased $63.5 billion, or 0.5 percent, compared with an increase of $49.6 billion, or 0.4 percent.

Personal outlays and personal saving

Personal outlays -- PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments -- increased $121.7 billion in April, compared with an increase of $1.8 billion in March. PCE increased $119.2 billion, compared with an increase of $3.7 billion.

Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $751.1 billion in April, compared with $809.4 billion in March. The personal saving rate -- personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income -- was 5.4 percent, compared with 5.9 percent. For a comparison of personal saving in BEA's national income and product accounts with personal saving in the Federal Reserve Board's Financial Accounts of the United States and data on changes in net worth, go to www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/nipa-frb.asp.

Real DPI, real PCE, and price index

Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.2 percent in April, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in March.

Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.6 percent in April, in contrast to a decrease of less than 0.1 percent in March. Purchases of durable goods increased 2.2 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent. Purchases of motor vehicles and parts accounted for most of the increase in April. Purchases of nondurable goods increased 0.7 percent in April, compared with an increase of 0.4 percent in March. Purchases of services increased 0.4 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 0.2 percent.

The price index for PCE increased 0.3 percent in April, compared with an increase of 0.1 percent in March. The PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2 percent, compared with an increase of 0.1 percent.

The April PCE price index increased 1.1 percent from April a year ago. The April PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 1.6 percent from April a year ago.

Revisions

Estimates have been revised for October through March. Changes in personal income, in current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI, and in current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar PCE for February and for March -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

Estimates of wages and salaries have been revised for October through March. The revision to fourth-quarter wages and salaries reflected the incorporation of the most recently available Bureau of Labor Statistics tabulations of fourth-quarter wages and salaries from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. Revised estimates for January, February, and March reflect extrapolations from the revised fourth-quarter level of wages. In addition, revisions to February and March reflect revised BLS employment, hours, and earnings data.

Upcoming Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

As part of the annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), revised estimates of personal income and outlays will be released in conjunction with preliminary estimates for June 2016 on August 2, 2016. This regular revision of the estimates will cover the most recent 3 years and the first 5 months of 2016. For more information, see "Preview of the Upcoming Annual NIPA Revision" included in the May Survey of Current Business article on "GDP and the Economy".

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release May 31, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 1, 2016Publication referenceMay 31, 201630 days laterJun 30, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.66%Observed 3.64%Observed −2 bps vs. earlier reference3.48%Observed −16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.83%Observed 1.84%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference1.49%Observed −35 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 29, 2016 – Aug 31, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 31, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Mar 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Mar 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Mar 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 24, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 31, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Apr 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Apr 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.61% · May 5, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · May 12, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · May 19, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · May 26, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jun 2, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jun 9, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jun 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jun 30, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Jul 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jul 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jul 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jul 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Aug 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Mar 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.90% · Mar 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.93% · Mar 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.92% · Mar 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Mar 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Mar 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Apr 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Apr 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Apr 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Apr 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Apr 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Apr 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Apr 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Apr 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Apr 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Apr 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Apr 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · May 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · May 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · May 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · May 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · May 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · May 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jun 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jun 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jun 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Jun 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Jun 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.64% · Jun 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Jun 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Jun 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jun 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.40% · Jul 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.43% · Jul 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jul 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jul 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Jul 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Aug 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Aug 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Aug 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Aug 31, 2016Feb 29, 2016May 31, 2016Aug 31, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury130 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,370.69/month

3.64% · May 26, 2016

At the later reference$1,343.79/month

3.48% · Jun 30, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $26.90 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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